Every time a series crossed its threshold or came back, newest first. Dates are the data period of the crossing, not the day it was published. Events older than the site are reconstructed from current data and may differ from what a first print would have shown.
| Date | Region | Indicator | Layer | Status | Value | Threshold | Since |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | United States | Real policy rate | Cycle | Triggered | +1.43 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp, and rising | 2 months |
| Sep 2026 | China | NBS manufacturing PMI | Cycle | Cleared | 50.1 | < 50 | 2 months |
| Sep 2026 | China | NBS non-manufacturing PMI | Cycle | Cleared | 50.2 | < 50 | 2 months |
| Aug 2026 | United Kingdom | Decision Maker Panel, expected employment growth | Cycle | Cleared | +0.11 % | < 0 | 3 months |
| Jul 2026 | China | NBS non-manufacturing PMI | Cycle | Triggered | 49.0 | < 50 | 4 months |
| Jul 2026 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Cleared | 45.2 | < 45 | 4 months |
| Jul 2026 | China | NBS manufacturing PMI | Cycle | Triggered | 49.2 | < 50 | 4 months |
| Jun 2026 | Eurozone | Real policy rate | Cycle | Triggered | −0.15 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp, and rising | 5 months |
| May 2026 | China | NBS non-manufacturing PMI | Cycle | Cleared | 50.1 | < 50 | 6 months |
| Apr 2026 | China | NBS non-manufacturing PMI | Cycle | Triggered | 49.4 | < 50 | 7 months |
| Apr 2026 | United Kingdom | Decision Maker Panel, expected employment growth | Cycle | Triggered | −0.04 % | < 0 | 7 months |
| Apr 2026 | India | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +14.2 % | < 0 for 2 months | 7 months |
| Mar 2026 | China | NBS non-manufacturing PMI | Cycle | Cleared | 50.1 | < 50 | 8 months |
| Mar 2026 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Triggered | 44.7 | < 45 | 8 months |
| Mar 2026 | India | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −8.8 % | < 0 for 2 months | 8 months |
| Feb 2026 | United Kingdom | Decision Maker Panel, expected employment growth | Cycle | Cleared | +0.11 % | < 0 | 9 months |
| Jan 2026 | United Kingdom | Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m | Cycle | Cleared | +0.1 % | < 0 | 10 months |
| Jan 2026 | China | NBS non-manufacturing PMI | Cycle | Triggered | 49.4 | < 50 | 10 months |
| Jan 2026 | United Kingdom | Unemployment rate | Cycle | Cleared | 4.9 % | > 12-month low + 0.5 pp | 10 months |
| Jan 2026 | Japan | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 2.6 % | > 3.0 % | 10 months |
| Q1 2026 | India | Debt service ratio, private sector | Structural | Triggered | 12.5 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp | 10 months |
| Dec 2025 | China | NBS non-manufacturing PMI | Cycle | Cleared | 50.2 | < 50 | 11 months |
| Dec 2025 | United Kingdom | Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m | Cycle | Cleared | +0.1 % | < 0 | 11 months |
| Nov 2025 | China | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Triggered | 99.8 | < 100 and falling | 1 year |
| Nov 2025 | United Kingdom | Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m | Cycle | Triggered | −0.1 % | < 0 | 1 year |
| Nov 2025 | China | NBS non-manufacturing PMI | Cycle | Triggered | 49.5 | < 50 | 1 year |
| Nov 2025 | United Kingdom | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +4.9 % | < 0 for 2 months | 1 year |
| Oct 2025 | Japan | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +1.4 % | < 0 for 2 months | 1 year |
| Oct 2025 | United Kingdom | Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m | Cycle | Triggered | −0.1 % | < 0 | 1 year |
| Q4 2025 | Japan | Debt service ratio, private sector | Structural | Triggered | 15.4 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp | 1 year |
| Oct 2025 | China | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 0.2 % | < 0 | 1 year |
| Sep 2025 | Japan | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −0.6 % | < 0 for 2 months | 1 year |
| Sep 2025 | United Kingdom | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −1.8 % | < 0 for 2 months | 1 year |
| Sep 2025 | United Kingdom | Decision Maker Panel, expected employment growth | Cycle | Triggered | −0.02 % | < 0 | 1 year |
| Sep 2025 | United Kingdom | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 3.5 % | > 3.5 % | 1 year |
| Sep 2025 | China | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Triggered | 99.9 | < 100 and falling | 1 year |
| Aug 2025 | United Kingdom | Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m | Cycle | Cleared | +0.2 % | < 0 | 1 year |
| Aug 2025 | China | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −0.4 % | < 0 | 1 year |
| Jul 2025 | United Kingdom | Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m | Cycle | Triggered | −0.03 % | < 0 | 1 year |
| Jul 2025 | United States | Regional Fed surveys, average | Cycle | Cleared | +7.2 | < 0 for 2 months | 1 year |
| Jul 2025 | United States | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Cleared | 99.6 | < 100 and falling | 1 year |
| Jun 2025 | United Kingdom | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 3.7 % | > 3.5 % | 1 year |
| Jun 2025 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Cleared | 45.1 | < 45 | 1 year |
| Jun 2025 | Japan | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Cleared | 99.5 | < 100 and falling | 1 year |
| Jun 2025 | China | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 0.1 % | < 0 | 1 year |
| May 2025 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Cleared | 46.1 | < 45 | 1 year |
| May 2025 | United Kingdom | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 3.5 % | > 3.5 % | 1 year |
| 23 Apr 2025 | United States | OFR Financial Stress Index | Stress | Cleared | −0.2 | > 0 for 5 days | 1 year |
| 9 Apr 2025 | United States | OFR Financial Stress Index | Stress | Triggered | +1.9 | > 0 for 5 days | 1 year |
| 9 Apr 2025 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Cleared | +4.9 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| 8 Apr 2025 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Triggered | +5.1 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| Apr 2025 | United States | Regional Fed surveys, average | Cycle | Triggered | −10.8 | < 0 for 2 months | 1 year |
| Apr 2025 | United Kingdom | Unemployment rate | Cycle | Triggered | 4.7 % | > 12-month low + 0.5 pp | 1 year |
| Apr 2025 | United Kingdom | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 3.8 % | > 3.5 % | 1 year |
| Apr 2025 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Triggered | 44.6 | < 45 | 1 year |
| Apr 2025 | Japan | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 3.2 % | > 3.0 % | 1 year |
| 14 Mar 2025 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Cleared | +4.5 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| 13 Mar 2025 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Triggered | +5.03 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| 12 Mar 2025 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Cleared | +4.7 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| 10 Mar 2025 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Triggered | +5.2 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| 5 Mar 2025 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Cleared | +4.6 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| Mar 2025 | United States | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Triggered | 99.6 | < 100 and falling | 1 year |
| Mar 2025 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Cleared | 46.9 | < 45 | 1 year |
| Mar 2025 | India | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +0.8 % | < 0 for 2 months | 1 year |
| 18 Feb 2025 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Triggered | +5.1 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| 14 Feb 2025 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Cleared | +4.7 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| Feb 2025 | United States | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Triggered | 99.7 | < 100 and falling | 1 year |
| Feb 2025 | United Kingdom | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +3.5 % | < 0 for 2 months | 1 year |
| Feb 2025 | United Kingdom | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 3.5 % | > 3.5 % | 1 year |
| Feb 2025 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Triggered | 44.9 | < 45 | 1 year |
| Feb 2025 | Japan | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +12.7 % | < 0 for 2 months | 1 year |
| Feb 2025 | China | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −0.7 % | < 0 | 1 year |
| 10 Jan 2025 | Eurozone | 10y–3m spread, AAA curve | Cycle | Cleared | +0.01 pp | < 0 for 3 months | 1 year |
| 8 Jan 2025 | United Kingdom | 10y gilt minus Bank Rate | Cycle | Cleared | +0.05 pp | < 0 for 3 months | 1 year |
| Jan 2025 | India | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Cleared | 99.2 | < 100 and falling | 1 year |
| Jan 2025 | United Kingdom | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 3.7 % | > 3.5 % | 1 year |
| Jan 2025 | Eurozone | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Cleared | 99.6 | < 100 and falling | 1 year |
| Q1 2025 | China | Debt service ratio, private sector | Structural | Triggered | 18.9 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp | 1 year |
| 13 Dec 2024 | United States | 10y–3m spread | Cycle | Cleared | +0.06 pp | < 0 for 3 months | 1 year |
| 12 Dec 2024 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Triggered | +5.2 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| 11 Dec 2024 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Cleared | +4.9 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| 10 Dec 2024 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Triggered | +5.1 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| 9 Dec 2024 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Cleared | +4.8 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| 6 Dec 2024 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Triggered | +5.1 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| 5 Dec 2024 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Cleared | +4.7 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| Dec 2024 | United Kingdom | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −3.0 % | < 0 for 2 months | 1 year |
| Dec 2024 | Japan | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −2.9 % | < 0 for 2 months | 1 year |
| Dec 2024 | India | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −3.0 % | < 0 for 2 months | 1 year |
| 20 Nov 2024 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Triggered | +5.5 % | > +5 % y/y | 1 year |
| 2 Nov 2024 | United States | Initial claims, 4-week average | Cycle | Cleared | 227k | > 12-month low + 15 % | 2 years |
| 12 Oct 2024 | United States | Initial claims, 4-week average | Cycle | Triggered | 237k | > 12-month low + 15 % | 2 years |
| Oct 2024 | United States | Sahm rule | Cycle | Cleared | 0.43 pp | ≥ 0.50 pp | 2 years |
| Oct 2024 | India | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +14.9 % | < 0 for 2 months | 2 years |
| Sep 2024 | India | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Triggered | 99.2 | < 100 and falling | 2 years |
| Sep 2024 | United States | Regional Fed surveys, average | Cycle | Cleared | +1.1 | < 0 for 2 months | 2 years |
| Sep 2024 | United Kingdom | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 3.2 % | > 3.5 % | 2 years |
| Sep 2024 | Eurozone | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Triggered | 99.6 | < 100 and falling | 2 years |
| 24 Aug 2024 | United States | Initial claims, 4-week average | Cycle | Cleared | 232k | > 12-month low + 15 % | 2 years |
| Aug 2024 | United Kingdom | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 3.6 % | > 3.5 % | 2 years |
| Aug 2024 | Japan | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +3.4 % | < 0 for 2 months | 2 years |
| Aug 2024 | India | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −12.7 % | < 0 for 2 months | 2 years |
| 31 Jul 2024 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Cleared | +4.9 % | > +5 % y/y | 2 years |
| 26 Jul 2024 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Triggered | +5.02 % | > +5 % y/y | 2 years |
| Jul 2024 | United States | Sahm rule | Cycle | Triggered | 0.53 pp | ≥ 0.50 pp | 2 years |
| Jul 2024 | United States | Regional Fed surveys, average | Cycle | Triggered | −3.4 | < 0 for 2 months | 2 years |
| Jul 2024 | Japan | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Triggered | 99.8 | < 100 and falling | 2 years |
| 22 Jun 2024 | United States | Initial claims, 4-week average | Cycle | Triggered | 234k | > 12-month low + 15 % | 2 years |
| Jun 2024 | United Kingdom | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +1.8 % | < 0 for 2 months | 2 years |
| May 2024 | United States | Regional Fed surveys, average | Cycle | Cleared | +0.2 | < 0 for 2 months | 2 years |
| May 2024 | United States | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 3.4 % | > 3.5 % | 2 years |
| May 2024 | United Kingdom | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 3.5 % | > 3.5 % | 2 years |
| May 2024 | China | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +6.2 % | < 0 for 2 months | 2 years |
| Q2 2024 | United Kingdom | House prices, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +0.4 % | < 0 for 2 quarters | 2 years |
| Q2 2024 | Eurozone | House prices, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +1.6 % | < 0 for 2 quarters | 2 years |
| Q2 2024 | Japan | Debt service ratio, private sector | Structural | Cleared | 15.0 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp | 2 years |
| Q2 2024 | Japan | Credit-to-GDP gap | Structural | Cleared | +9.4 pp | > 10 pp | 2 years |
| Apr 2024 | China | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −4.0 % | < 0 for 2 months | 2 years |
| Mar 2024 | United Kingdom | M4 money, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +0.3 % | < 0 | 2 years |
| Mar 2024 | Eurozone | Real policy rate | Cycle | Cleared | +1.00 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp, and rising | 2 years |
| Mar 2024 | Eurozone | Core HICP, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 3.0 % | > 3.0 % | 2 years |
| Feb 2024 | United Kingdom | Real policy rate | Cycle | Cleared | +0.75 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp, and rising | 2 years |
| Feb 2024 | Japan | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −7.3 % | < 0 for 2 months | 2 years |
| Feb 2024 | Japan | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 3.0 % | > 3.0 % | 2 years |
| Feb 2024 | Japan | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Cleared | 99.8 | < 100 and falling | 2 years |
| Feb 2024 | China | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 0.7 % | < 0 | 2 years |
| Jan 2024 | United States | Real policy rate | Cycle | Cleared | +1.64 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp, and rising | 2 years |
| Jan 2024 | United Kingdom | Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m | Cycle | Cleared | 0.0 % | < 0 | 2 years |
| Q1 2024 | Japan | Debt service ratio, private sector | Structural | Triggered | 15.1 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp | 2 years |
| Dec 2023 | India | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Cleared | 99.1 | < 100 and falling | 2 years |
| Dec 2023 | United States | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +1.7 % | < 0 for 2 months | 2 years |
| Dec 2023 | Japan | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +3.3 % | < 0 for 2 months | 2 years |
| Dec 2023 | China | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +0.6 % | < 0 for 2 months | 2 years |
| Nov 2023 | China | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +1.4 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| Nov 2023 | Japan | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −4.9 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| Nov 2023 | Eurozone | Loans to firms, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +0.03 % | < 0 | 3 years |
| Q4 2023 | United Kingdom | House prices, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −2.5 % | < 0 for 2 quarters | 3 years |
| Oct 2023 | United Kingdom | Real policy rate | Cycle | Triggered | −0.45 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp, and rising | 3 years |
| Oct 2023 | India | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Cleared | 99.1 | < 100 and falling | 3 years |
| Oct 2023 | Eurozone | Loans to firms, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −0.2 % | < 0 | 3 years |
| Oct 2023 | China | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −0.2 % | < 0 | 3 years |
| 18 Sep 2023 | United Kingdom | 10y gilt minus Bank Rate | Cycle | Triggered | −0.82 pp | < 0 for 3 months | 3 years |
| 16 Sep 2023 | United States | Initial claims, 4-week average | Cycle | Cleared | 224k | > 12-month low + 15 % | 3 years |
| Sep 2023 | Eurozone | Real policy rate | Cycle | Triggered | −0.50 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp, and rising | 3 years |
| Sep 2023 | United Kingdom | Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m | Cycle | Triggered | −0.1 % | < 0 | 3 years |
| Sep 2023 | United Kingdom | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −3.7 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| Sep 2023 | Japan | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +0.7 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| Sep 2023 | India | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 4.7 % | > 6.0 % | 3 years |
| Aug 2023 | United Kingdom | Unemployment rate | Cycle | Cleared | 4.1 % | > 12-month low + 0.5 pp | 3 years |
| Aug 2023 | India | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +3.5 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| Aug 2023 | China | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 0.1 % | < 0 | 3 years |
| Jul 2023 | United Kingdom | M4 money, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −0.9 % | < 0 | 3 years |
| Q3 2023 | Eurozone | House prices, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −2.1 % | < 0 for 2 quarters | 3 years |
| Q3 2023 | Japan | Debt service ratio, private sector | Structural | Cleared | 14.9 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp | 3 years |
| Jul 2023 | India | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 7.5 % | > 6.0 % | 3 years |
| Jul 2023 | China | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −0.3 % | < 0 | 3 years |
| Jun 2023 | United Kingdom | M4 money, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +0.1 % | < 0 | 3 years |
| 19 Jun 2023 | United Kingdom | 10y gilt minus Bank Rate | Cycle | Cleared | +0.03 pp | < 0 for 3 months | 3 years |
| 6 Jun 2023 | Eurozone | 10y–3m spread, AAA curve | Cycle | Triggered | −0.69 pp | < 0 for 3 months | 3 years |
| 3 Jun 2023 | United States | Initial claims, 4-week average | Cycle | Triggered | 233k | > 12-month low + 15 % | 3 years |
| Jun 2023 | India | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 5.6 % | > 5.5 % | 3 years |
| 1 Jun 2023 | United States | OFR Financial Stress Index | Stress | Cleared | −0.1 | > 0 for 5 days | 3 years |
| Jun 2023 | United States | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Cleared | 98.7 | < 100 and falling | 3 years |
| Jun 2023 | United Kingdom | Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m | Cycle | Cleared | +0.03 % | < 0 | 3 years |
| Jun 2023 | United Kingdom | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +2.3 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| Jun 2023 | Japan | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −5.6 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| Jun 2023 | China | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −14.0 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| May 2023 | United Kingdom | M4 money, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −0.1 % | < 0 | 3 years |
| 29 May 2023 | United States | OFR Financial Stress Index | Stress | Triggered | +0.2 | > 0 for 5 days | 3 years |
| 12 May 2023 | United States | OFR Financial Stress Index | Stress | Cleared | −0.1 | > 0 for 5 days | 3 years |
| 8 May 2023 | United States | OFR Financial Stress Index | Stress | Triggered | +0.2 | > 0 for 5 days | 3 years |
| May 2023 | United States | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −7.2 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| May 2023 | United Kingdom | Unemployment rate | Cycle | Triggered | 4.2 % | > 12-month low + 0.5 pp | 3 years |
| May 2023 | United Kingdom | Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m | Cycle | Triggered | −0.1 % | < 0 | 3 years |
| 14 Apr 2023 | United States | OFR Financial Stress Index | Stress | Cleared | −0.1 | > 0 for 5 days | 3 years |
| 12 Apr 2023 | United Kingdom | 10y gilt minus Bank Rate | Cycle | Triggered | −0.68 pp | < 0 for 3 months | 3 years |
| 5 Apr 2023 | Eurozone | CISS systemic stress | Stress | Cleared | 0.296 | > 0.30 | 3 years |
| Apr 2023 | India | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 5.1 % | > 5.5 % | 3 years |
| Apr 2023 | United States | Real policy rate | Cycle | Triggered | −0.51 % | > 10-yr mean + 1 pp, and rising | 3 years |
| 1 Apr 2023 | United States | Initial claims, 4-week average | Cycle | Cleared | 226k | > 12-month low + 15 % | 3 years |
| Apr 2023 | Japan | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +0.5 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| 25 Mar 2023 | United States | Initial claims, 4-week average | Cycle | Triggered | 229k | > 12-month low + 15 % | 3 years |
| 21 Mar 2023 | Eurozone | CISS systemic stress | Stress | Triggered | 0.31 | > 0.30 | 3 years |
| 14 Mar 2023 | United States | OFR Financial Stress Index | Stress | Triggered | +1.3 | > 0 for 5 days | 3 years |
| 1 Mar 2023 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Cleared | +4.2 % | > +5 % y/y | 3 years |
| Mar 2023 | United Kingdom | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −5.4 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| Mar 2023 | India | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −5.9 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| Mar 2023 | India | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 5.8 % | > 6.0 % | 3 years |
| Mar 2023 | China | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | +12.7 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| 27 Feb 2023 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Triggered | +5.3 % | > +5 % y/y | 3 years |
| 24 Feb 2023 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Cleared | +4.9 % | > +5 % y/y | 3 years |
| 16 Feb 2023 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Triggered | +5.04 % | > +5 % y/y | 3 years |
| 23 Jan 2023 | United States | 10y–3m spread | Cycle | Triggered | −1.21 pp | < 0 for 3 months | 3 years |
| 18 Jan 2023 | United States | OFR Financial Stress Index | Stress | Cleared | −0.1 | > 0 for 5 days | 3 years |
| 6 Jan 2023 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Cleared | +4.9 % | > +5 % y/y | 3 years |
| Jan 2023 | India | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 6.2 % | > 6.0 % | 3 years |
| 30 Dec 2022 | Eurozone | CISS systemic stress | Stress | Cleared | 0.297 | > 0.30 | 3 years |
| 19 Dec 2022 | Eurozone | CISS systemic stress | Stress | Triggered | 0.301 | > 0.30 | 3 years |
| 15 Dec 2022 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Triggered | +5.3 % | > +5 % y/y | 3 years |
| 14 Dec 2022 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Cleared | +4.8 % | > +5 % y/y | 3 years |
| 5 Dec 2022 | Eurozone | CISS systemic stress | Stress | Cleared | 0.29 | > 0.30 | 3 years |
| Dec 2022 | India | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 5.502 % | > 5.5 % | 3 years |
| Dec 2022 | United Kingdom | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Cleared | 95.8 | < 100 and falling | 3 years |
| Dec 2022 | Eurozone | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Cleared | 98.3 | < 100 and falling | 3 years |
| Dec 2022 | China | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −7.7 % | < 0 for 2 months | 3 years |
| Nov 2022 | China | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −8.9 % | < 0 for 2 months | 4 years |
| Nov 2022 | United Kingdom | Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m | Cycle | Cleared | +0.1 % | < 0 | 4 years |
| Nov 2022 | Japan | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 3.1 % | > 3.0 % | 4 years |
| Nov 2022 | Japan | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Triggered | 99.98 | < 100 and falling | 4 years |
| Nov 2022 | India | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 5.4 % | > 6.0 % | 4 years |
| Oct 2022 | United Kingdom | Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m | Cycle | Triggered | −0.03 % | < 0 | 4 years |
| Oct 2022 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Cleared | 47.8 | < 45 | 4 years |
| Sep 2022 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Triggered | 44.9 | < 45 | 4 years |
| Sep 2022 | India | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 6.5 % | > 6.0 % | 4 years |
| Sep 2022 | India | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Triggered | 99.9 | < 100 and falling | 4 years |
| Sep 2022 | China | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Cleared | 98.0 | < 100 and falling | 4 years |
| 18 Aug 2022 | Eurozone | CISS systemic stress | Stress | Triggered | 0.31 | > 0.30 | 4 years |
| 17 Aug 2022 | Eurozone | CISS systemic stress | Stress | Cleared | 0.298 | > 0.30 | 4 years |
| Aug 2022 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Cleared | 47.6 | < 45 | 4 years |
| Aug 2022 | Eurozone | Economic Sentiment Indicator | Cycle | Triggered | 98.6 | < 100 for 2 months | 4 years |
| Jul 2022 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Triggered | 42.6 | < 45 | 4 years |
| Jul 2022 | India | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 5.8 % | > 6.0 % | 4 years |
| Jun 2022 | United States | Regional Fed surveys, average | Cycle | Triggered | −1.5 | < 0 for 2 months | 4 years |
| Jun 2022 | United States | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Triggered | 99.7 | < 100 and falling | 4 years |
| May 2022 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Cleared | 52.6 | < 45 | 4 years |
| May 2022 | Japan | Exports, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −1.8 % | < 0 for 2 months | 4 years |
| 27 Apr 2022 | United States | OFR Financial Stress Index | Stress | Triggered | +1.0 | > 0 for 5 days | 4 years |
| 26 Apr 2022 | Eurozone | CISS systemic stress | Stress | Triggered | 0.31 | > 0.30 | 4 years |
| 22 Apr 2022 | United States | Broad dollar index, y/y | Stress | Triggered | +5.2 % | > +5 % y/y | 4 years |
| 11 Apr 2022 | Eurozone | CISS systemic stress | Stress | Cleared | 0.295 | > 0.30 | 4 years |
| Q2 2022 | China | House prices, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | −2.2 % | < 0 for 2 quarters | 4 years |
| Apr 2022 | India | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 6.3 % | > 6.0 % | 4 years |
| Apr 2022 | Eurozone | Core HICP, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 3.5 % | > 3.0 % | 4 years |
| Apr 2022 | Eurozone | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Triggered | 99.9 | < 100 and falling | 4 years |
| 21 Mar 2022 | United States | OFR Financial Stress Index | Stress | Cleared | −0.1 | > 0 for 5 days | 4 years |
| 8 Mar 2022 | Eurozone | CISS systemic stress | Stress | Triggered | 0.32 | > 0.30 | 4 years |
| 7 Mar 2022 | United States | OFR Financial Stress Index | Stress | Triggered | +2.0 | > 0 for 5 days | 4 years |
| Feb 2022 | India | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Cleared | 5.0 % | > 5.5 % | 4 years |
| Feb 2022 | United Kingdom | OECD composite leading indicator | Cycle | Triggered | 99.2 | < 100 and falling | 4 years |
| Feb 2022 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Cleared | 46.5 | < 45 | 4 years |
| Jan 2022 | Japan | Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions | Cycle | Triggered | 43.6 | < 45 | 4 years |
| Dec 2021 | India | Headline CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 5.6 % | > 5.5 % | 4 years |
| Nov 2021 | United Kingdom | Core CPI, y/y | Cycle | Triggered | 4.0 % | > 3.5 % | 5 years |