worldstat.us · Threshold events
The full record
161 events in five years of data
18 Sep 2026

Every time a series crossed its threshold or came back, newest first. Dates are the data period of the crossing, not the day it was published. Events older than the site are reconstructed from current data and may differ from what a first print would have shown.

DateRegionIndicatorLayerStatusValueThresholdSince
31 Mar 2026 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared −0.3 > 0 5 months
30 Mar 2026 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered +0.2 > 0 5 months
Jan 2026 United Kingdom Unemployment rate Cycle Cleared 4.9 % > 12-month low + 0.5 pp 8 months
Q1 2026 India Debt service ratio, private sector Structural Triggered 12.5 % > 10-yr mean + 1 pp 8 months
Dec 2025 United Kingdom Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m Cycle Cleared +0.1 % < 0 9 months
Oct 2025 United Kingdom Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m Cycle Triggered −0.1 % < 0 11 months
Oct 2025 China Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 0.2 % < 0 11 months
Q4 2025 Japan Debt service ratio, private sector Structural Triggered 15.4 % > 10-yr mean + 1 pp 11 months
Sep 2025 United Kingdom Core CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 3.5 % > 3.5 % 1 year
Sep 2025 China OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Triggered 99.9 < 100 and falling 1 year
Aug 2025 China Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Triggered −0.4 % < 0 1 year
Jul 2025 United States Regional Fed surveys, average Cycle Cleared +7.2 < 0 for 2 months 1 year
Jul 2025 United States OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Cleared 99.6 < 100 and falling 1 year
Jun 2025 United Kingdom Core CPI, y/y Cycle Triggered 3.7 % > 3.5 % 1 year
Jun 2025 Japan OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Cleared 99.5 < 100 and falling 1 year
Jun 2025 China Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 0.1 % < 0 1 year
May 2025 United States Regional Fed surveys, average Cycle Triggered −3.8 < 0 for 2 months 1 year
May 2025 United Kingdom Core CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 3.5 % > 3.5 % 1 year
23 Apr 2025 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared −0.2 > 0 1 year
9 Apr 2025 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Cleared +4.9 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
8 Apr 2025 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Triggered +5.1 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
4 Apr 2025 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered +1.3 > 0 1 year
Apr 2025 United Kingdom Unemployment rate Cycle Triggered 4.7 % > 12-month low + 0.5 pp 1 year
Apr 2025 United Kingdom Core CPI, y/y Cycle Triggered 3.8 % > 3.5 % 1 year
14 Mar 2025 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Cleared +4.5 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
13 Mar 2025 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Triggered +5.0 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
12 Mar 2025 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Cleared +4.7 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
10 Mar 2025 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Triggered +5.2 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
5 Mar 2025 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Cleared +4.6 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
Mar 2025 United States OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Triggered 99.6 < 100 and falling 1 year
18 Feb 2025 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Triggered +5.1 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
14 Feb 2025 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Cleared +4.7 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
Feb 2025 United Kingdom Core CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 3.5 % > 3.5 % 1 year
Feb 2025 China Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Triggered −0.7 % < 0 1 year
10 Jan 2025 Eurozone 10y–3m spread, AAA curve Cycle Cleared +0.01 pp < 0 for 3 months 1 year
8 Jan 2025 United Kingdom 10y gilt minus Bank Rate Cycle Cleared +0.05 pp < 0 for 3 months 1 year
Jan 2025 United Kingdom Core CPI, y/y Cycle Triggered 3.7 % > 3.5 % 1 year
Jan 2025 Eurozone OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Cleared 99.6 < 100 and falling 1 year
Q1 2025 China Debt service ratio, private sector Structural Triggered 18.9 % > 10-yr mean + 1 pp 1 year
13 Dec 2024 United States 10y–3m spread Cycle Cleared +0.06 pp < 0 for 3 months 1 year
12 Dec 2024 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Triggered +5.2 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
11 Dec 2024 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Cleared +4.9 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
10 Dec 2024 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Triggered +5.1 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
9 Dec 2024 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Cleared +4.8 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
6 Dec 2024 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Triggered +5.1 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
5 Dec 2024 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Cleared +4.7 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
20 Nov 2024 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Triggered +5.5 % > +5 % y/y 1 year
2 Nov 2024 United States Initial claims, 4-week average Cycle Cleared 227k > 12-month low + 15 % 1 year
12 Oct 2024 United States Initial claims, 4-week average Cycle Triggered 237k > 12-month low + 15 % 1 year
Oct 2024 United States Sahm rule Cycle Cleared 0.43 pp ≥ 0.50 pp 1 year
Sep 2024 United States Regional Fed surveys, average Cycle Cleared +1.1 < 0 for 2 months 2 years
Sep 2024 United Kingdom Core CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 3.2 % > 3.5 % 2 years
Sep 2024 Eurozone OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Triggered 99.6 < 100 and falling 2 years
24 Aug 2024 United States Initial claims, 4-week average Cycle Cleared 232k > 12-month low + 15 % 2 years
8 Aug 2024 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared 0.0 > 0 2 years
5 Aug 2024 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered +1.9 > 0 2 years
Aug 2024 United States Regional Fed surveys, average Cycle Triggered −1.4 < 0 for 2 months 2 years
Aug 2024 United Kingdom Core CPI, y/y Cycle Triggered 3.6 % > 3.5 % 2 years
31 Jul 2024 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Cleared +4.9 % > +5 % y/y 2 years
26 Jul 2024 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Triggered +5.0 % > +5 % y/y 2 years
Jul 2024 United States Sahm rule Cycle Triggered 0.53 pp ≥ 0.50 pp 2 years
Jul 2024 Japan OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Triggered 99.8 < 100 and falling 2 years
22 Jun 2024 United States Initial claims, 4-week average Cycle Triggered 234k > 12-month low + 15 % 2 years
May 2024 United States Regional Fed surveys, average Cycle Cleared +0.2 < 0 for 2 months 2 years
May 2024 United States Core CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 3.4 % > 3.5 % 2 years
May 2024 United Kingdom Core CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 3.5 % > 3.5 % 2 years
Q2 2024 Japan Debt service ratio, private sector Structural Cleared 15.0 % > 10-yr mean + 1 pp 2 years
Q2 2024 Japan Credit-to-GDP gap Structural Cleared +9.4 pp > 10 pp 2 years
Mar 2024 Eurozone Core HICP, y/y Cycle Cleared 3.0 % > 3.0 % 2 years
Feb 2024 Japan OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Cleared 99.8 < 100 and falling 2 years
Feb 2024 China Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 0.7 % < 0 2 years
Jan 2024 United Kingdom Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m Cycle Cleared 0.0 % < 0 2 years
Q1 2024 Japan Debt service ratio, private sector Structural Triggered 15.1 % > 10-yr mean + 1 pp 2 years
Nov 2023 Eurozone Loans to firms, y/y Cycle Cleared 0.0 % < 0 2 years
30 Oct 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared 0.0 > 0 2 years
26 Oct 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered +0.1 > 0 2 years
24 Oct 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared −0.1 > 0 2 years
19 Oct 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered 0.0 > 0 2 years
Oct 2023 India OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Cleared 99.1 < 100 and falling 2 years
Oct 2023 China Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Triggered −0.2 % < 0 2 years
Oct 2023 Eurozone Loans to firms, y/y Cycle Triggered −0.2 % < 0 2 years
18 Sep 2023 United Kingdom 10y gilt minus Bank Rate Cycle Triggered −0.82 pp < 0 for 3 months 3 years
16 Sep 2023 United States Initial claims, 4-week average Cycle Cleared 224k > 12-month low + 15 % 3 years
Sep 2023 United Kingdom Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m Cycle Triggered −0.1 % < 0 3 years
Sep 2023 India Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 4.7 % > 6.0 % 3 years
Aug 2023 United Kingdom Unemployment rate Cycle Cleared 4.1 % > 12-month low + 0.5 pp 3 years
Aug 2023 China Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 0.1 % < 0 3 years
Jul 2023 India Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Triggered 7.5 % > 6.0 % 3 years
Jul 2023 China Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Triggered −0.3 % < 0 3 years
Q3 2023 Japan Debt service ratio, private sector Structural Cleared 14.9 % > 10-yr mean + 1 pp 3 years
19 Jun 2023 United Kingdom 10y gilt minus Bank Rate Cycle Cleared +0.03 pp < 0 for 3 months 3 years
6 Jun 2023 Eurozone 10y–3m spread, AAA curve Cycle Triggered −0.69 pp < 0 for 3 months 3 years
3 Jun 2023 United States Initial claims, 4-week average Cycle Triggered 233k > 12-month low + 15 % 3 years
1 Jun 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared −0.1 > 0 3 years
Jun 2023 United States OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Cleared 98.7 < 100 and falling 3 years
Jun 2023 United Kingdom Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m Cycle Cleared 0.0 % < 0 3 years
23 May 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered +0.1 > 0 3 years
17 May 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared −0.1 > 0 3 years
15 May 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered 0.0 > 0 3 years
12 May 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared −0.1 > 0 3 years
2 May 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered +0.3 > 0 3 years
May 2023 United Kingdom Unemployment rate Cycle Triggered 4.2 % > 12-month low + 0.5 pp 3 years
May 2023 United Kingdom Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m Cycle Triggered −0.1 % < 0 3 years
28 Apr 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared −0.1 > 0 3 years
25 Apr 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered +0.2 > 0 3 years
14 Apr 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared −0.1 > 0 3 years
12 Apr 2023 United Kingdom 10y gilt minus Bank Rate Cycle Triggered −0.68 pp < 0 for 3 months 3 years
5 Apr 2023 Eurozone CISS systemic stress Stress Cleared 0.30 > 0.30 3 years
1 Apr 2023 United States Initial claims, 4-week average Cycle Cleared 226k > 12-month low + 15 % 3 years
25 Mar 2023 United States Initial claims, 4-week average Cycle Triggered 229k > 12-month low + 15 % 3 years
21 Mar 2023 Eurozone CISS systemic stress Stress Triggered 0.31 > 0.30 3 years
9 Mar 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered +0.1 > 0 3 years
1 Mar 2023 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Cleared +4.2 % > +5 % y/y 3 years
Mar 2023 India Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 5.8 % > 6.0 % 3 years
27 Feb 2023 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Triggered +5.3 % > +5 % y/y 3 years
24 Feb 2023 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Cleared +4.9 % > +5 % y/y 3 years
23 Feb 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared −0.1 > 0 3 years
22 Feb 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered +0.1 > 0 3 years
16 Feb 2023 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Triggered +5.0 % > +5 % y/y 3 years
23 Jan 2023 United States 10y–3m spread Cycle Triggered −1.21 pp < 0 for 3 months 3 years
20 Jan 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared 0.0 > 0 3 years
19 Jan 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered 0.0 > 0 3 years
18 Jan 2023 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared −0.1 > 0 3 years
6 Jan 2023 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Cleared +4.9 % > +5 % y/y 3 years
Jan 2023 India Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Triggered 6.2 % > 6.0 % 3 years
30 Dec 2022 Eurozone CISS systemic stress Stress Cleared 0.30 > 0.30 3 years
19 Dec 2022 Eurozone CISS systemic stress Stress Triggered 0.30 > 0.30 3 years
15 Dec 2022 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Triggered +5.3 % > +5 % y/y 3 years
14 Dec 2022 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Cleared +4.8 % > +5 % y/y 3 years
5 Dec 2022 Eurozone CISS systemic stress Stress Cleared 0.29 > 0.30 3 years
Dec 2022 United Kingdom OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Cleared 95.8 < 100 and falling 3 years
Dec 2022 Eurozone OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Cleared 98.3 < 100 and falling 3 years
Nov 2022 United Kingdom Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m Cycle Cleared +0.1 % < 0 3 years
Nov 2022 Japan OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Triggered 100.0 < 100 and falling 3 years
Nov 2022 India Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 5.4 % > 6.0 % 3 years
Oct 2022 United Kingdom Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m Cycle Triggered 0.0 % < 0 3 years
Sep 2022 India Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Triggered 6.5 % > 6.0 % 4 years
Sep 2022 India OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Triggered 99.9 < 100 and falling 4 years
Sep 2022 China OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Cleared 98.0 < 100 and falling 4 years
18 Aug 2022 Eurozone CISS systemic stress Stress Triggered 0.31 > 0.30 4 years
17 Aug 2022 Eurozone CISS systemic stress Stress Cleared 0.30 > 0.30 4 years
Jul 2022 United States Regional Fed surveys, average Cycle Triggered −3.0 < 0 for 2 months 4 years
Jul 2022 India Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Cleared 5.8 % > 6.0 % 4 years
Jul 2022 Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Cycle Triggered 99.6 below 100 4 years
Jun 2022 United States OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Triggered 99.7 < 100 and falling 4 years
26 Apr 2022 Eurozone CISS systemic stress Stress Triggered 0.31 > 0.30 4 years
22 Apr 2022 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered +0.5 > 0 4 years
22 Apr 2022 United States Broad dollar index, y/y Stress Triggered +5.2 % > +5 % y/y 4 years
11 Apr 2022 Eurozone CISS systemic stress Stress Cleared 0.30 > 0.30 4 years
Apr 2022 India Headline CPI, y/y Cycle Triggered 6.3 % > 6.0 % 4 years
Apr 2022 Eurozone Core HICP, y/y Cycle Triggered 3.5 % > 3.0 % 4 years
Apr 2022 Eurozone OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Triggered 99.9 < 100 and falling 4 years
29 Mar 2022 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared −0.2 > 0 4 years
25 Mar 2022 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered 0.0 > 0 4 years
21 Mar 2022 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared −0.1 > 0 4 years
8 Mar 2022 Eurozone CISS systemic stress Stress Triggered 0.32 > 0.30 4 years
1 Mar 2022 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered +0.6 > 0 4 years
28 Feb 2022 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Cleared −0.1 > 0 4 years
24 Feb 2022 United States OFR Financial Stress Index Stress Triggered +0.1 > 0 4 years
Feb 2022 United Kingdom OECD composite leading indicator Cycle Triggered 99.2 < 100 and falling 4 years
Nov 2021 United Kingdom Core CPI, y/y Cycle Triggered 4.0 % > 3.5 % 4 years