worldstat.us · United Kingdom · Cycle layer · Indicator
OECD composite leading indicator
Fetched 18 Sep 2026, 08:42 UTC
101.1 index
Normal 1.1 above the 100.0 trigger · rising
As of Aug 2026 · Threshold < 100 and falling
Recession, Jul 1973 to Mar 1974Recession, Apr 1975 to Sep 1975Recession, Jan 1980 to Mar 1981Recession, Jul 1990 to Sep 1991Recession, Apr 2008 to Jun 2009Recession, Jan 2020 to Jun 2020Recession, Jul 2023 to Dec 20239095100105Threshold < 100 and fallingTrigger < 100 and falling1960197019801990200020102020
1957 to 2026 · index. Shaded bands are recessions.
What it is

The OECD's amplitude-adjusted leading indicator for the United Kingdom. Below 100 and falling means growth is expected to run under trend and the gap is widening.

Threshold source: OECD: 100 is the long-term trend. How thresholds are chosen

Known weaknesses

Revised for several months after first publication.