CISS systemic stress
Fetched 18 Sep 2026, 10:19 UTC
0.03 index
Normal 0.27 below the 0.30 trigger · rising
As of 15 Sep 2026 · Threshold > 0.30
Recession, Jan 1980 to Sep 1982Recession, Jan 1992 to Sep 1993Recession, Jan 2008 to Jun 2009Recession, Jul 2011 to Mar 2013Recession, Oct 2019 to Jun 20200.00.20.40.60.81.0Threshold > 0.30Trigger > 0.301990200020102020
1980 to 2026 · index. Shaded bands are recessions.
What it is

The ECB's Composite Indicator of Systemic Stress aggregates fifteen market stress measures across money, bond, equity and foreign-exchange markets, weighted by their correlation. Zero is no stress, one is stress everywhere at once.

Threshold source: Holló, Kremer and Lo Duca (2012), ECB: readings above 0.3 have marked systemic episodes. How thresholds are chosen

Known weaknesses

Correlation weighting means it can stay low while one market is in trouble alone.