worldstat.us · Region
Eurozone
11 of 11 series current
22% of world GDP
18 Sep 2026
79 /100
Green · expansion
93 Structurallow risk 69 Cycleexpanding 83 Stresscalm
Score, five years, with regime bands
Derived series · not a market price
Expansion: score 65 to 100EXPANSIONLate cycle: score 50 to 65LATE CYCLESlowdown: score 35 to 50SLOWDOWNContraction: score 0 to 35CONTRACTION20222023202420252026

Green because cycle is expanding: Economic Sentiment Indicator 98.4, crossed Jul 2022; core HICP, y/y 2.4 %, 0.6 pp below. Structural is low risk: the credit gap is −17.1 pp. 1 of 6 cycle series triggered.

Output, for context only
+0.6 % Real GDP, q/q, Q2 2026
Indicators · sorted by contribution, most negative first
Every row opens the indicator, its history and its track record.
IndicatorLatestThresholdDistance3-mo trendStatusAs of
Economic Sentiment Indicator 98.4 below 100 crossed Jul 2022 Rising Triggered Aug 2026
Core HICP, y/y 2.4 % > 3.0 % 0.6 pp below Falling Normal Aug 2026
OECD composite leading indicator * 100.8 < 100 and falling 0.8 above Rising Normal Aug 2026
Unemployment rate 6.4 % > 12-month low + 0.5 pp 0.4 pp below Flat Normal Jul 2026
10y–3m spread, AAA curve +1.02 pp < 0 for 3 months 1.02 pp above Steepening Normal 16 Sep
CISS systemic stress 0.03 > 0.30 0.27 below Rising Normal 15 Sep
Debt service ratio, four largest economies * 13.6 % > 10-yr mean + 1 pp 1.4 pp below Flat Normal Q1 2026
Loans to firms, y/y +4.4 % < 0 4.4 pp above Rising Normal Jul 2026
Credit-to-GDP gap −17.1 pp > 10 pp 27.1 pp below Rising Normal Q1 2026
ECB deposit facility rate 2.50 % — — Context 16 Sep

Scores are worldstat.us constructions. Latest values are as published by the source and may be revised. * marks a series with a note on its page about the source or the proxy used.