Core CPI, y/y
Fetched 18 Sep 2026, 08:42 UTC
Next release 21 October 2026
2.6 %
Normal 0.9 pp below the 3.5 % trigger · flat
As of Aug 2026 · Threshold > 3.5 %
Recession, Jul 1990 to Sep 1991Recession, Apr 2008 to Jun 2009Recession, Jan 2020 to Jun 2020Recession, Jul 2023 to Dec 202302468Threshold > 3.5 %Trigger > 3.5 %19901995200020052010201520202025
1989 to 2026 · percent. Shaded bands are recessions.
What it is

Consumer prices excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, as a change over twelve months.

Threshold source: Bank of England target 2 %; 3.5 % is the upper edge of the range in which the Bank has held policy restrictive. How thresholds are chosen

Known weaknesses

Services inflation, which the Bank of England watches more closely, is not separated out here.