Decision Maker Panel, expected employment growth
Fetched 18 Sep 2026, 10:17 UTC
+0.1 %
Post-trigger returned Aug 2026 · rising
As of Aug 2026 · Threshold < 0
Recession, Jan 2020 to Jun 2020Recession, Jul 2023 to Dec 2023−6−4−2024Threshold < 0Trigger < 020182020202220242026
2017 to 2026 · percent. Shaded bands are recessions.
What it is

The Bank of England's monthly survey of about 2,500 chief financial officers. This series is the mean expected growth in employment over the next twelve months, as a three-month average. Below zero, firms on balance expect to shrink.

Threshold source: Firms on balance expecting to cut headcount over the year ahead. How thresholds are chosen

Known weaknesses

Expectations, not outcomes; the panel over-represents larger firms. Published as a spreadsheet on a monthly web page whose address changes with the month.