United Kingdom · Cycle layer · Indicator

Monthly GDP, 3m on 3m

Fetched 2 Nov 2026, 06:01 UTC
Next release 12 November 2026
+0.7 %
Normal 0.7 pp above zero · falling
As of Aug 2026 · Threshold < 0
Recession, Apr 2008 to Jun 2009Recession, Jan 2020 to Jun 2020Recession, Jul 2023 to Dec 2023−20−10010Threshold < 0Trigger < 0200020052010201520202025
1997 to 2026 · percent. Shaded bands are recessions.
What it is

The ONS monthly estimate of real GDP, expressed as the latest three months against the previous three, which is the ONS headline growth measure.

Threshold source: worldstat.us construction on the ONS headline growth measure: below zero. How thresholds are chosen

Known weaknesses

Monthly GDP is revised, sometimes by half a point, as quarterly accounts arrive. Strikes and bank holidays move single months.