Exports, y/y
Fetched 18 Sep 2026, 10:19 UTC
+4.4 %
Watch 4.4 pp above the 0.0 % trigger · rising
As of Jun 2026 · Threshold < 0 for 2 months
Recession, Jul 1973 to Mar 1974Recession, Apr 1975 to Sep 1975Recession, Jan 1980 to Mar 1981Recession, Jul 1990 to Sep 1991Recession, Apr 2008 to Jun 2009Recession, Jan 2020 to Jun 2020Recession, Jul 2023 to Dec 2023050100Threshold < 0 for 2 monthsTrigger < 0 for 2 months1960197019801990200020102020
1958 to 2026 · percent. Shaded bands are recessions.
What it is

The value of goods exports in US dollars, as a change over twelve months.

Threshold source: Falling export values for two months have accompanied every global trade downturn. How thresholds are chosen

Known weaknesses

Valued in dollars, so sterling moves show up as trade. Erratic items such as gold and aircraft swing single months.