China · Cycle layer · Indicator

NBS manufacturing PMI

Fetched 2 Nov 2026, 06:01 UTC
50.1 index
Post-trigger returned Sep 2026 · falling
As of Sep 2026 · Threshold < 50
49.249.449.649.850.050.250.4Threshold < 50Trigger < 50
2026 to 2026 · index
What it is

The official purchasing managers' index for manufacturing, published on the last day of each month by the National Bureau of Statistics from a survey of about 3,200 firms. Above 50 is expansion, below 50 contraction.

Threshold source: Diffusion index convention: below 50 more purchasing managers report contraction than expansion. How thresholds are chosen

Known weaknesses

Skewed towards large state-owned firms; the private Caixin survey often disagrees. Read from the text of the monthly web release.