worldstat.us · Japan · Cycle layer · Indicator
Economy Watchers Survey, current conditions
Fetched 18 Sep 2026, 10:17 UTC
45.4 index
Post-trigger returned Jul 2026 · rising
As of Aug 2026 · Threshold < 45
Recession, Nov 2000 to Jan 2002Recession, Feb 2008 to Mar 2009Recession, Mar 2012 to Nov 2012Recession, Oct 2018 to May 2020102030405060Threshold < 45Trigger < 4520052010201520202025
2000 to 2026 · index. Shaded bands are recessions.
What it is

A monthly survey of about 2,000 people whose jobs put them in touch with consumers and firms: taxi drivers, shop staff, restaurant managers, recruiters. The diffusion index for current conditions is 50 when as many see things improving as worsening.

Threshold source: Cabinet Office: 50 is neutral; readings below 45 have accompanied every Japanese downturn since 2000. How thresholds are chosen

Known weaknesses

A sentiment survey with a short lead. The publisher's downloadable table holds only the latest six months, so the history here accumulates from September 2026.