India · Cycle layer · Indicator

Headline CPI, y/y

Fetched 2 Nov 2026, 06:01 UTC
5.0 %
Normal 0.5 pp below the 5.5 % trigger · rising

Headline, not core: the Ministry of Statistics' API needs a registered token and is not yet connected.

As of Aug 2026 · Threshold > 5.5 %
−100102030Threshold > 5.5 %Trigger > 5.5 %1960197019801990200020102020
1958 to 2026 · percent
What it is

Consumer prices as a change over twelve months. The threshold is one and a half points above the Reserve Bank of India's 4 % target, the same distance the US and UK rules use; until September 2026 it was 6 %, the edge of the RBI's tolerance band, a line that inflation can sit just under for years without the series ever leaving Normal.

Threshold source: worldstat.us construction: one and a half points above the Reserve Bank of India's 4 % target, the same distance as the US and UK rules, and inside the RBI's 2 to 6 % tolerance band. How thresholds are chosen

Known weaknesses

Food and beverages are 37 % of the 2024-base index (46 % in the 2012 series it replaced in February 2026), so monsoon outcomes still move the headline more than demand does.