The published line each indicator is measured against
The level at which an indicator counts as having signalled, taken from the literature or the publisher and printed on every indicator page.
Every indicator with a status carries one threshold: the Sahm rule's 0.50 points, the Basel Committee's 10-point credit gap, the OECD's 100 line. Where no established rule exists, worldstat.us states its own construction and the reasoning. Some thresholds are relative to the series' own history, such as fifteen percent above the twelve-month low, and some require persistence, such as three months of inversion.
The five states follow from the threshold: Normal, Watch (within one step, or across but not yet for long enough), Triggered, Post-trigger (crossed and returned within six months), and Context for series that have no threshold at all.
On this site
- Headline CPI, y/y China 0.9 % Normal
- Credit to the private sector, y/y China +5.2 % Context
- 10y–3m spread China +0.20 pp Context
- Government debt, % of GDP China 101.1 % Context
- Loan prime rate, 1-year China 3.00 % Context
- Producer prices, y/y China +5.0 % Context
- Real policy rate China +2.00 % Context
- Urban surveyed unemployment rate China 5.2 % Normal
- ECB deposit facility rate Eurozone 2.50 % Context
- Economic Sentiment Indicator Eurozone 96.9 Normal
- Government debt, % of GDP Eurozone 85.6 % Context
- Real policy rate Eurozone 0.00 % Triggered
- Unemployment rate Eurozone 6.5 % Normal
- Headline CPI, y/y India 5.0 % Normal
- Real policy rate India +0.29 % Context
- Policy repo rate India 5.50 % Context
- Overnight call rate Japan 1.04 % Context
- Government debt, % of GDP Japan 175.6 % Context
- Real policy rate Japan −1.66 % Normal
- Unemployment rate Japan 2.5 % Normal
- Bank Rate United Kingdom 3.75 % Context
- Government debt, % of GDP United Kingdom 86.5 % Context
- Real policy rate United Kingdom +0.95 % Watch
- Unemployment rate United Kingdom 4.7 % Normal
- 10y–3m spread United States +0.78 pp Normal
- Fed funds target, upper bound United States 4.00 % Context
- Regional Fed surveys, average United States +23.2 Normal
- Government debt, % of GDP United States 110.8 % Context
- OFR Financial Stress Index United States −1.8 Normal
- Real policy rate United States +1.43 % Triggered
Related terms
OECD · Sahm rule · countercyclical capital buffer · credit-to-GDP gap · yield curve