China · Cycle layer · Indicator

Credit to the private sector, y/y

Fetched 20 Sep 2026, 00:05 UTC
+5.2 %
Context
As of Q1 2026
010203019901995200020052010201520202025
1986 to 2026 · percent
What it is

Total credit to households and non-financial firms from all lenders, banks, bond markets and non-bank institutions, in yuan, as a change over four quarters, from the BIS total credit statistics. It is the series closest to the People's Bank's total social financing that is published in a machine-readable form; the PBoC publishes its own aggregate only as web tables. Shown for context. A threshold waits until the record has been reviewed: growth has slowed from above 20 % in 2009 to single digits since 2024, and a line has to be chosen against that history, not against the other regions' zero.

Known weaknesses

Quarterly and one to two quarters behind. Local-government financing vehicles are counted as firms, which is where much of the credit went.