India · Cycle layer · Indicator

10y yield minus repo rate

Fetched 18 Sep 2026, 10:19 UTC
+1.53 pp
Normal 1.53 pp above the 0.00 pp trigger · flattening

The repo rate is a step series: the changes since 2023 are recorded from the RBI's policy announcements, and the current rate is read from the RBI home page at every build.

As of Jul 2026 · Threshold < 0 for 3 months
0.00.51.01.5Threshold < 0 for 3 monthsTrigger < 0 for 3 months202420252026
2023 to 2026 · percentage points
What it is

The ten-year government security yield, as a monthly average, minus the Reserve Bank of India's policy repo rate. A long yield below the policy rate means markets expect cuts, which has preceded slowdowns in India as elsewhere.

Threshold source: Yield-curve rule with the policy rate as the short end; India publishes no free daily short-tenor yield. How thresholds are chosen

Known weaknesses

The policy rate moves in steps on meeting days, so the spread jumps rather than drifts. The ten-year series arrives with a two-month lag.