United States · Cycle layer · Indicator

GDPNow, current quarter

Fetched 2 Nov 2026, 06:01 UTC
+3.2 %
Context
As of Q4 2026
Recession, Feb 2020 to Apr 2020−200204020122014201620182020202220242026
2011 to 2026 · percent. Shaded bands are NBER recessions, peak to trough.
What it is

The Atlanta Fed's running estimate of the current quarter's real GDP growth, updated after each data release. Context only.

Known weaknesses

Early-quarter estimates are driven by the model's priors and can move by several points as data arrive.