Debt service ratio, private sector
Fetched 18 Sep 2026, 10:17 UTC
13.8 %
Normal 1.7 pp below the 15.5 % trigger · falling
As of Q1 2026 · Threshold > 10-yr mean + 1 pp
Recession, Apr 2001 to Nov 2001Recession, Jan 2008 to Jun 2009Recession, Mar 2020 to Apr 20201415161718Threshold > 10-yr mean + 1 ppTrigger > 10-yr mean + 1 pp200020052010201520202025
1999 to 2026 · percent. Shaded bands are recessions.
What it is

Interest payments plus amortisation of the private non-financial sector as a share of income. It measures how much of income goes to servicing debt at current rates.

Threshold source: Drehmann and Juselius (2012), BIS: a DSR one point above its own average has preceded banking crises. How thresholds are chosen

Known weaknesses

Assumes a standard maturity for all debt, so it moves with rates faster than actual household payments do.